BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 59 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 65.60
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2021 Home L 61.77 16 42 1B 4 ( 10- 0) Sam Houston St -4.11 -21.89
2 09/11/2021 Away L 57.43 7 34 1B 15 ( 7- 5) South Dakota -8.45 -18.55
3 09/18/2021 Away W 75.31 21 19 1A 109 ( 1- 11) Arizona 9.43 -7.43
4 09/25/2021 Away L * 54.01 10 17 1B 92 ( 3- 8) Northern Colorado -11.87 4.87
5 10/02/2021 Home W * 87.00 48 17 1B 85 ( 1- 10) Idaho St 21.12 9.88
6 10/16/2021 Home W * 77.76 59 35 1B 103 ( 1- 10) Southern Utah 11.87 12.13
7 10/23/2021 Away L * 39.40 0 44 1B 19 ( 9- 2) Sacramento St -26.49 -17.51
8 10/30/2021 Away W * 76.20 38 31 1B 56 ( 4- 7) Idaho 10.32 -3.32
9 11/06/2021 Home L * 57.80 24 40 1B 25 ( 8- 4) UC-Davis -8.09 -7.91
10 11/13/2021 Home L * 54.60 3 30 1B 8 ( 9- 2) Montana -11.28 -15.72
11 11/20/2021 Away W * 80.33 45 21 1B 106 ( 2- 9) Cal Poly SLO 14.45 9.55
Averages 65.60 24.6 30.0
Best game: 87.00 = 31 point win over Idaho St
Worst game: 39.40 = 44 point loss to Sacramento St
Team stdev: 14.54